US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$5,663 Vol.
≥3.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 21%
2.0–2.5% 13%
1.5–2.0% 13%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<1.0%
$450 Vol.
5%
<1.0%
$450 Vol.
5%
1.0–1.5%
$261 Vol.
10%
1.0–1.5%
$261 Vol.
10%
1.5–2.0%
$2,840 Vol.
13%
1.5–2.0%
$2,840 Vol.
13%
2.0–2.5%
$205 Vol.
13%
2.0–2.5%
$205 Vol.
13%
2.5–3.0%
$205 Vol.
21%
2.5–3.0%
$205 Vol.
21%
3.0–3.5%
$495 Vol.
13%
3.0–3.5%
$495 Vol.
13%
≥3.5%
$1,207 Vol.
26%
≥3.5%
$1,207 Vol.
26%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Created At: Dec 23, 2025, 10:42 PM UTC
Volume
$5,663End Date
Apr 30, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 10:42 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$5,663 Vol.
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
≥3.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 21%
2.0–2.5% 13%
1.5–2.0% 13%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<1.0%
$450 Vol.
5%
1.0–1.5%
$261 Vol.
10%
1.5–2.0%
$2,840 Vol.
13%
2.0–2.5%
$205 Vol.
13%
2.5–3.0%
$205 Vol.
21%
3.0–3.5%
$495 Vol.
13%
≥3.5%
$1,207 Vol.
26%
About
Volume
$5,663End Date
Apr 30, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 10:42 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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