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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Jul 14

Jul 14

Enola Holmes 3 45%

Hamnet 45%

Little Brother 42%

Spider-Man: Homecoming 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Enola Holmes 3 45%

Hamnet 45%

Little Brother 42%

Spider-Man: Homecoming 5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Enola Holmes 3

Enola Holmes 3

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Hamnet

Hamnet

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Little Brother

Little Brother

$43 Vol.

42%

icon for Spider-Man: Homecoming

Spider-Man: Homecoming

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Retribution

Retribution

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Gone Girl

Gone Girl

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Voicemails for Isabelle

Voicemails for Isabelle

$77 Vol.

2%

icon for KPop Demon Hunters

KPop Demon Hunters

$77 Vol.

2%

icon for Swapped

Swapped

$77 Vol.

2%

icon for Maternal Instinct

Maternal Instinct

$132 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 50% across a wide field including Enola Holmes 3, KPop Demon Hunters, Little Brother, and catalog titles like Spider-Man: Homecoming and Gone Girl, trader consensus highlights a highly fragmented contest for the top US Netflix movie this week. No single release has pulled ahead because weekly viewership rankings depend on volatile factors such as algorithmic promotion, social media engagement, and retention rates among new originals versus proven performers. Upcoming chart updates and any late surges in streaming metrics remain the primary swing catalysts in a landscape where small shifts in audience behavior can quickly reorder the leaderboard.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$463
End Date
Jul 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 8:51 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 50% across a wide field including Enola Holmes 3, KPop Demon Hunters, Little Brother, and catalog titles like Spider-Man: Homecoming and Gone Girl, trader consensus highlights a highly fragmented contest for the top US Netflix movie this week. No single release has pulled ahead because weekly viewership rankings depend on volatile factors such as algorithmic promotion, social media engagement, and retention rates among new originals versus proven performers. Upcoming chart updates and any late surges in streaming metrics remain the primary swing catalysts in a landscape where small shifts in audience behavior can quickly reorder the leaderboard.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$463
End Date
Jul 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 8:51 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Enola Holmes 3" at 46%, followed by "Hamnet" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Enola Holmes 3" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hamnet" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.