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icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Jul 14

Jul 14

Little House on the Prairie season 9 45%

Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1 45%

I Will Find You: Limited Series 45%

Sullivan's Crossing: Season 4 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Little House on the Prairie season 9 45%

Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1 45%

I Will Find You: Limited Series 45%

Sullivan's Crossing: Season 4 6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Little House on the Prairie season 9

Little House on the Prairie season 9

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1

Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for I Will Find You: Limited Series

I Will Find You: Limited Series

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Sullivan's Crossing: Season 4

Sullivan's Crossing: Season 4

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 2

Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 2

$67 Vol.

5%

icon for Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 1

Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 1

$67 Vol.

4%

icon for Danny Go!: Season 1

Danny Go!: Season 1

$67 Vol.

4%

icon for Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2

Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2

$43 Vol.

2%

icon for Ms. Rachel: Season 1

Ms. Rachel: Season 1

$138 Vol.

1%

icon for The Last Ship: Season 1

The Last Ship: Season 1

$138 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent premieres and sustained momentum have created a tight race for the top US Netflix TV spot this week, with trader-implied odds clustered near 50% across multiple titles. Avatar: The Last Airbender Season 2, which debuted June 25, continues drawing strong fantasy audiences while newer July 1 arrivals like Worst Neighbor Ever compete directly for visibility. Limited series such as I Will Find You and returning seasons including Sullivan's Crossing add further fragmentation, as do family-oriented options like the upcoming Little House on the Prairie adaptation and children's programming. Key swing factors include daily chart updates, streaming velocity in the first full week post-release, and any late marketing pushes, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to the next few days of performance data.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$522
End Date
Jul 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent premieres and sustained momentum have created a tight race for the top US Netflix TV spot this week, with trader-implied odds clustered near 50% across multiple titles. Avatar: The Last Airbender Season 2, which debuted June 25, continues drawing strong fantasy audiences while newer July 1 arrivals like Worst Neighbor Ever compete directly for visibility. Limited series such as I Will Find You and returning seasons including Sullivan's Crossing add further fragmentation, as do family-oriented options like the upcoming Little House on the Prairie adaptation and children's programming. Key swing factors include daily chart updates, streaming velocity in the first full week post-release, and any late marketing pushes, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to the next few days of performance data.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$522
End Date
Jul 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

icon for Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

47%
icon for Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 9" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 9" be the top global Netflix show this week?

48%
icon for Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 9" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 9" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

48%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Little House on the Prairie season 9" at 46%, followed by "Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Little House on the Prairie season 9" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.