Skip to main content
icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Aug 25

Aug 25

Outer Banks: Season 5 96.3%

Tires: Season 3 2.5%

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 1.4%

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Outer Banks: Season 5 96.3%

Tires: Season 3 2.5%

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 1.4%

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Outer Banks: Season 5

Outer Banks: Season 5

$1,315 Vol.

96%

icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$372 Vol.

3%

icon for My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

$73 Vol.

1%

icon for Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3

$123 Vol.

1%

icon for My Brilliant Career: Season 1

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

$63 Vol.

1%

icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$128 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The simultaneous August 20, 2026, binge drop of all ten episodes of the final season of Outer Banks drives the 95.3% market-implied odds, capitalizing on the show's established fanbase and prior seasons' combined nearly 200 million views. As a long-running teen adventure drama with proven streaming momentum, the finale generates immediate viewing surges typical of high-profile Netflix returns. Traders see limited competition from ongoing titles like Tires or My Life With the Walter Boys in the first full week of data. An upset would require another release to post outsized same-week numbers or Outer Banks underperforming its historical trajectory amid the final-season narrative push.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,711
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The simultaneous August 20, 2026, binge drop of all ten episodes of the final season of Outer Banks drives the 95.3% market-implied odds, capitalizing on the show's established fanbase and prior seasons' combined nearly 200 million views. As a long-running teen adventure drama with proven streaming momentum, the finale generates immediate viewing surges typical of high-profile Netflix returns. Traders see limited competition from ongoing titles like Tires or My Life With the Walter Boys in the first full week of data. An upset would require another release to post outsized same-week numbers or Outer Banks underperforming its historical trajectory amid the final-season narrative push.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,711
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

icon for Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

48%
icon for Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

83%
icon for Will MrBeast hit 515 million subscribers by August 31?

Will MrBeast hit 515 million subscribers by August 31?

99%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 96%, followed by "Tires: Season 3" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tires: Season 3" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.