Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads with the strongest market-implied odds due to its director’s recent Best Picture and Director wins, plus early trailer momentum and a star-studded cast featuring Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and Zendaya that positions the film for broad nominations across major and craft categories. Dune: Messiah follows as the main challenger, drawing on the franchise’s established critical and technical success in prior installments. Disclosure Day and Project Hail Mary sit further back, buoyed by Steven Spielberg’s pedigree and Ryan Gosling’s star power respectively, though both remain in early stages ahead of their 2026 releases. These implied probabilities reflect trader focus on historical precedent, precursor potential, and upcoming promotional windows rather than final outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey 48%
Dune: Messiah 23%
Disclosure Day 13%
Project Hail Mary 10.1%
$18,010 Vol.
$18,010 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
The Odyssey
48%
Dune: Messiah
23%
Disclosure Day
13%
Project Hail Mary
10%
Wuthering Heights
4%
The Bride!
1%
The Social Reckoning
1%
Wild Horse Nine
<1%
The Odyssey 48%
Dune: Messiah 23%
Disclosure Day 13%
Project Hail Mary 10.1%
$18,010 Vol.
$18,010 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
The Odyssey
$5,423 Vol.
48%
Dune: Messiah
$3,411 Vol.
23%
Disclosure Day
$2,855 Vol.
13%
Project Hail Mary
$2,320 Vol.
10%
Wuthering Heights
$1,782 Vol.
4%
The Bride!
$1,381 Vol.
1%
The Social Reckoning
$539 Vol.
1%
Wild Horse Nine
$298 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads with the strongest market-implied odds due to its director’s recent Best Picture and Director wins, plus early trailer momentum and a star-studded cast featuring Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and Zendaya that positions the film for broad nominations across major and craft categories. Dune: Messiah follows as the main challenger, drawing on the franchise’s established critical and technical success in prior installments. Disclosure Day and Project Hail Mary sit further back, buoyed by Steven Spielberg’s pedigree and Ryan Gosling’s star power respectively, though both remain in early stages ahead of their 2026 releases. These implied probabilities reflect trader focus on historical precedent, precursor potential, and upcoming promotional windows rather than final outcomes.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$18,010End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads with the strongest market-implied odds due to its director’s recent Best Picture and Director wins, plus early trailer momentum and a star-studded cast featuring Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and Zendaya that positions the film for broad nominations across major and craft categories. Dune: Messiah follows as the main challenger, drawing on the franchise’s established critical and technical success in prior installments. Disclosure Day and Project Hail Mary sit further back, buoyed by Steven Spielberg’s pedigree and Ryan Gosling’s star power respectively, though both remain in early stages ahead of their 2026 releases. These implied probabilities reflect trader focus on historical precedent, precursor potential, and upcoming promotional windows rather than final outcomes.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,010End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads with the strongest market-implied odds due to its director’s recent Best Picture and Director wins, plus early trailer momentum and a star-studded cast featuring Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and Zendaya that positions the film for broad nominations across major and craft categories. Dune: Messiah follows as the main challenger, drawing on the franchise’s established critical and technical success in prior installments. Disclosure Day and Project Hail Mary sit further back, buoyed by Steven Spielberg’s pedigree and Ryan Gosling’s star power respectively, though both remain in early stages ahead of their 2026 releases. These implied probabilities reflect trader focus on historical precedent, precursor potential, and upcoming promotional windows rather than final outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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