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icon for Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Elections·Slovenia Election

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

icon for Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Elections·Slovenia Election

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

$227,151 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026
Polymarket

$227,151 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

$10,555 Vol.

99%

icon for Democrats (D)

Democrats (D)

$23,634 Vol.

96%

icon for Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

$27,594 Vol.

95%

icon for Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

$12,724 Vol.

92%

icon for Freedom Movement (GS)

Freedom Movement (GS)

$46,272 Vol.

4%

icon for Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

$862 Vol.

3%

icon for The Left (Levica)

The Left (Levica)

$8,836 Vol.

2%

icon for Resni.ca (Res)

Resni.ca (Res)

$55,528 Vol.

2%

icon for Social Democrats (SD)

Social Democrats (SD)

$13,941 Vol.

1%

icon for Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

$2,074 Vol.

1%

icon for Our Country (ND)

Our Country (ND)

$4,329 Vol.

1%

icon for Prerod (PVP)

Prerod (PVP)

$2,468 Vol.

1%

icon for Slovenian National Party (SNS)

Slovenian National Party (SNS)

$3,212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

$14,094 Vol.

<1%

icon for Party of Generations (SG)

Party of Generations (SG)

$1,029 Vol.

43%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Following Slovenia's proportional representation parliamentary elections on March 22, 2026, no party secured a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly, where 46 votes are needed for a government. Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (29 seats) failed to build a coalition after receiving the initial mandate and conceded on April 20 amid stalled unity talks excluding the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS, 28 seats). Center-right negotiations advanced rapidly, with SDS leader Janez Janša announcing on May 12 that a coalition agreement with Democrats (6 seats) and the NSi–SLS–Fokus alliance (9 seats)—totaling 43 seats—is 95% complete, potentially relying on Resni.ca (5 seats) external support. President Nataša Pirc Musar may soon nominate a prime ministerial candidate, with a vote possible by June, determining the final coalition partners.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Volume
$227,151
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Following Slovenia's proportional representation parliamentary elections on March 22, 2026, no party secured a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly, where 46 votes are needed for a government. Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (29 seats) failed to build a coalition after receiving the initial mandate and conceded on April 20 amid stalled unity talks excluding the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS, 28 seats). Center-right negotiations advanced rapidly, with SDS leader Janez Janša announcing on May 12 that a coalition agreement with Democrats (6 seats) and the NSi–SLS–Fokus alliance (9 seats)—totaling 43 seats—is 95% complete, potentially relying on Resni.ca (5 seats) external support. President Nataša Pirc Musar may soon nominate a prime ministerial candidate, with a vote possible by June, determining the final coalition partners.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Volume
$227,151
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)" at 99%, followed by "Democrats (D)" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" has generated $227.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is "New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Democrats (D)" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.