Trump's public comments since June have positioned "No Endorsement" as the leading outcome in this market, with statements emphasizing that it is "most appropriate" for him to stay out of the October 27 Israeli legislative election while leaving open a possible future endorsement. Strains in the U.S.-Israel relationship, including disagreements over military actions in Lebanon, the Iran nuclear file, and Gaza policy, have contributed to trader assessments of reluctance. Netanyahu's Likud trails or ties Yashar in recent polling averages, and reports indicate opposition figures have urged neutrality to avoid boosting the incumbent. If an endorsement occurs before the December 31 resolution deadline, Likud remains the secondary probability given the leaders' long-standing ties, though no announcement has materialized despite earlier conditional remarks favoring Netanyahu.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement 73%
Likud 28%
Together <1%
Yashar <1%
$42,680 Vol.
$42,680 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Endorsement
73%
Likud
28%
Together
<1%
Yashar
<1%
Shas
<1%
Blue and White
<1%
Religious Zionism
<1%
UTJ
<1%
Otzma Yehudit
<1%
Yisrael Beiteinu
<1%
Hadash–Ta'al
<1%
Democrats
<1%
New Hope
<1%
Noam
<1%
No Endorsement 73%
Likud 28%
Together <1%
Yashar <1%
$42,680 Vol.
$42,680 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Endorsement
$11,304 Vol.
73%
Likud
$18,964 Vol.
28%
Together
$2,348 Vol.
<1%
Yashar
$2,763 Vol.
<1%
Shas
$579 Vol.
<1%
Blue and White
$1,406 Vol.
<1%
Religious Zionism
$866 Vol.
<1%
UTJ
$1,104 Vol.
<1%
Otzma Yehudit
$1,182 Vol.
<1%
Yisrael Beiteinu
$451 Vol.
<1%
Hadash–Ta'al
$371 Vol.
<1%
Democrats
$446 Vol.
<1%
New Hope
$450 Vol.
<1%
Noam
$446 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.Trump's public comments since June have positioned "No Endorsement" as the leading outcome in this market, with statements emphasizing that it is "most appropriate" for him to stay out of the October 27 Israeli legislative election while leaving open a possible future endorsement. Strains in the U.S.-Israel relationship, including disagreements over military actions in Lebanon, the Iran nuclear file, and Gaza policy, have contributed to trader assessments of reluctance. Netanyahu's Likud trails or ties Yashar in recent polling averages, and reports indicate opposition figures have urged neutrality to avoid boosting the incumbent. If an endorsement occurs before the December 31 resolution deadline, Likud remains the secondary probability given the leaders' long-standing ties, though no announcement has materialized despite earlier conditional remarks favoring Netanyahu.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$42,680End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.Trump's public comments since June have positioned "No Endorsement" as the leading outcome in this market, with statements emphasizing that it is "most appropriate" for him to stay out of the October 27 Israeli legislative election while leaving open a possible future endorsement. Strains in the U.S.-Israel relationship, including disagreements over military actions in Lebanon, the Iran nuclear file, and Gaza policy, have contributed to trader assessments of reluctance. Netanyahu's Likud trails or ties Yashar in recent polling averages, and reports indicate opposition figures have urged neutrality to avoid boosting the incumbent. If an endorsement occurs before the December 31 resolution deadline, Likud remains the secondary probability given the leaders' long-standing ties, though no announcement has materialized despite earlier conditional remarks favoring Netanyahu.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents.
In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties.
Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market.
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$42,680End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's public comments since June have positioned "No Endorsement" as the leading outcome in this market, with statements emphasizing that it is "most appropriate" for him to stay out of the October 27 Israeli legislative election while leaving open a possible future endorsement. Strains in the U.S.-Israel relationship, including disagreements over military actions in Lebanon, the Iran nuclear file, and Gaza policy, have contributed to trader assessments of reluctance. Netanyahu's Likud trails or ties Yashar in recent polling averages, and reports indicate opposition figures have urged neutrality to avoid boosting the incumbent. If an endorsement occurs before the December 31 resolution deadline, Likud remains the secondary probability given the leaders' long-standing ties, though no announcement has materialized despite earlier conditional remarks favoring Netanyahu.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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