Hurricane Polo, a Category 5 system with maximum sustained winds near 160–180 mph as of September 25, is steered by a mid-level ridge over northern Mexico toward a northwest then northeast turn. National Hurricane Center forecasts show high confidence in landfall along Baja California Sur early the following week, followed by a second crossing into mainland Mexico, with the system still at hurricane strength (around 80–95 kt) upon approach despite gradual weakening from increasing shear. Recent eyewall replacement cycles and intensity fluctuations have not altered the track consensus across dynamical models, supporting the 83.5% market-implied odds for landfall as a hurricane while underscoring remaining uncertainty in exact intensity at impact.