Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain or thunderstorms over Qingdao on September 25, driven by southeasterly flow and an approaching weather system that suppresses daytime heating. These conditions limit solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 20–23 °C rather than the clearer, warmer values seen earlier in the week. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22 °C because ensemble guidance shows little spread in peak values once precipitation begins, though slight shifts in timing or intensity of the rain could still alter the exact high. Updated model runs and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any movement in trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 25?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 25?
21°C 26%
22°C 23%
23°C 23%
20°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
23%
21°C
26%
22°C
23%
23°C
23%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 26%
22°C 23%
23°C 23%
20°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$39 Vol.
1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
3%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain or thunderstorms over Qingdao on September 25, driven by southeasterly flow and an approaching weather system that suppresses daytime heating. These conditions limit solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 20–23 °C rather than the clearer, warmer values seen earlier in the week. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22 °C because ensemble guidance shows little spread in peak values once precipitation begins, though slight shifts in timing or intensity of the rain could still alter the exact high. Updated model runs and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any movement in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$164End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain or thunderstorms over Qingdao on September 25, driven by southeasterly flow and an approaching weather system that suppresses daytime heating. These conditions limit solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 20–23 °C rather than the clearer, warmer values seen earlier in the week. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22 °C because ensemble guidance shows little spread in peak values once precipitation begins, though slight shifts in timing or intensity of the rain could still alter the exact high. Updated model runs and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any movement in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$164End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain or thunderstorms over Qingdao on September 25, driven by southeasterly flow and an approaching weather system that suppresses daytime heating. These conditions limit solar insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures near 20–23 °C rather than the clearer, warmer values seen earlier in the week. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22 °C because ensemble guidance shows little spread in peak values once precipitation begins, though slight shifts in timing or intensity of the rain could still alter the exact high. Updated model runs and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any movement in trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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