Recent forecasts from Pakistan Meteorological Department models and international sources indicate a cooling trend in Karachi following extreme heat that peaked at 40.7°C on September 21–22, driven by the dissipation of a blocking low-pressure system. Westerly winds and increasing sea breeze influence from the Arabian Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies, are expected to cap the September 25 maximum near 32–34°C. Historical September averages hover around 33°C, and current ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk with humidity supporting moderate heat indices rather than record highs. Trader emphasis on 33–35°C outcomes aligns with this stabilization, though minor model variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 25?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 25?
34°C 35%
33°C 25%
35°C 22%
32°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
22%
36°C
9%
37°C
13%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
33°C 25%
35°C 22%
32°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$22 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
25%
34°C
$5 Vol.
35%
35°C
$0 Vol.
22%
36°C
$0 Vol.
9%
37°C
$0 Vol.
13%
38°C or higher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Pakistan Meteorological Department models and international sources indicate a cooling trend in Karachi following extreme heat that peaked at 40.7°C on September 21–22, driven by the dissipation of a blocking low-pressure system. Westerly winds and increasing sea breeze influence from the Arabian Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies, are expected to cap the September 25 maximum near 32–34°C. Historical September averages hover around 33°C, and current ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk with humidity supporting moderate heat indices rather than record highs. Trader emphasis on 33–35°C outcomes aligns with this stabilization, though minor model variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$293End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Pakistan Meteorological Department models and international sources indicate a cooling trend in Karachi following extreme heat that peaked at 40.7°C on September 21–22, driven by the dissipation of a blocking low-pressure system. Westerly winds and increasing sea breeze influence from the Arabian Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies, are expected to cap the September 25 maximum near 32–34°C. Historical September averages hover around 33°C, and current ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk with humidity supporting moderate heat indices rather than record highs. Trader emphasis on 33–35°C outcomes aligns with this stabilization, though minor model variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$293End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Pakistan Meteorological Department models and international sources indicate a cooling trend in Karachi following extreme heat that peaked at 40.7°C on September 21–22, driven by the dissipation of a blocking low-pressure system. Westerly winds and increasing sea breeze influence from the Arabian Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies, are expected to cap the September 25 maximum near 32–34°C. Historical September averages hover around 33°C, and current ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk with humidity supporting moderate heat indices rather than record highs. Trader emphasis on 33–35°C outcomes aligns with this stabilization, though minor model variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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