Recent forecast model runs from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and GFS data indicate nighttime lows in Karachi near 27–28°C for September 25, driven by persistent westerly winds off the Arabian Sea that limit radiative cooling and maintain high humidity levels around 75–85%. Coastal moderation keeps overnight temperatures elevated compared with inland areas, while partly cloudy conditions reduce heat loss versus clear skies. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, with the narrow spread between 28°C and cooler bins highlighting uncertainty in exact minimums tied to minor shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or dew-point depression during the final hours before dawn. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 25?
22°C or below 92%
32°C or higher 91%
28°C 46%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
92%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
46%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
91%
22°C or below 92%
32°C or higher 91%
28°C 46%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
92%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$16 Vol.
46%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and GFS data indicate nighttime lows in Karachi near 27–28°C for September 25, driven by persistent westerly winds off the Arabian Sea that limit radiative cooling and maintain high humidity levels around 75–85%. Coastal moderation keeps overnight temperatures elevated compared with inland areas, while partly cloudy conditions reduce heat loss versus clear skies. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, with the narrow spread between 28°C and cooler bins highlighting uncertainty in exact minimums tied to minor shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or dew-point depression during the final hours before dawn. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$16End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and GFS data indicate nighttime lows in Karachi near 27–28°C for September 25, driven by persistent westerly winds off the Arabian Sea that limit radiative cooling and maintain high humidity levels around 75–85%. Coastal moderation keeps overnight temperatures elevated compared with inland areas, while partly cloudy conditions reduce heat loss versus clear skies. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, with the narrow spread between 28°C and cooler bins highlighting uncertainty in exact minimums tied to minor shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or dew-point depression during the final hours before dawn. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and GFS data indicate nighttime lows in Karachi near 27–28°C for September 25, driven by persistent westerly winds off the Arabian Sea that limit radiative cooling and maintain high humidity levels around 75–85%. Coastal moderation keeps overnight temperatures elevated compared with inland areas, while partly cloudy conditions reduce heat loss versus clear skies. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, with the narrow spread between 28°C and cooler bins highlighting uncertainty in exact minimums tied to minor shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or dew-point depression during the final hours before dawn. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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