Recent weather model consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts indicates minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 24 will likely hover near 27–28°C, supported by dissipating low-pressure systems, persistent westerly winds, and coastal sea-breeze moderation amid an overall warm air mass. Recent record September highs above 40°C have eased slightly, yet elevated humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep overnight lows elevated compared to historical September averages around 25–26°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28°C and lower thresholds reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings, influenced by variable wind patterns and potential model revisions ahead of official verification data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 24?
32°C or higher 85%
22°C or below 82%
28°C 46%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
82%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
46%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
85%
32°C or higher 85%
22°C or below 82%
28°C 46%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
82%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$16 Vol.
46%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts indicates minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 24 will likely hover near 27–28°C, supported by dissipating low-pressure systems, persistent westerly winds, and coastal sea-breeze moderation amid an overall warm air mass. Recent record September highs above 40°C have eased slightly, yet elevated humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep overnight lows elevated compared to historical September averages around 25–26°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28°C and lower thresholds reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings, influenced by variable wind patterns and potential model revisions ahead of official verification data releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$16End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts indicates minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 24 will likely hover near 27–28°C, supported by dissipating low-pressure systems, persistent westerly winds, and coastal sea-breeze moderation amid an overall warm air mass. Recent record September highs above 40°C have eased slightly, yet elevated humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep overnight lows elevated compared to historical September averages around 25–26°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28°C and lower thresholds reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings, influenced by variable wind patterns and potential model revisions ahead of official verification data releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts indicates minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 24 will likely hover near 27–28°C, supported by dissipating low-pressure systems, persistent westerly winds, and coastal sea-breeze moderation amid an overall warm air mass. Recent record September highs above 40°C have eased slightly, yet elevated humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep overnight lows elevated compared to historical September averages around 25–26°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28°C and lower thresholds reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings, influenced by variable wind patterns and potential model revisions ahead of official verification data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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