Recent official forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature in Karachi on September 23 most likely between 34–36°C, driven by moderate westerly winds enhancing the Arabian Sea breeze that limits daytime heating despite clear skies and high solar insolation typical of post-monsoon conditions. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects model agreement on minimal cloud cover and humidity levels near 55–65% that moderate but do not suppress maximums, while slight variations in wind strength or timing could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 34–35°C provide baseline context, with upcoming updated runs from global models expected to refine the narrow range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 23?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 23?
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
37°C 23%
34°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
9%
35°C
32%
36°C
27%
37°C
23%
38°C
8%
39°C
7%
40°C or higher
1%
35°C 32%
36°C 27%
37°C 23%
34°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
30°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C
$173 Vol.
2%
32°C
$12 Vol.
3%
33°C
$19 Vol.
8%
34°C
$19 Vol.
9%
35°C
$33 Vol.
32%
36°C
$5 Vol.
27%
37°C
$5 Vol.
23%
38°C
$5 Vol.
8%
39°C
$11 Vol.
7%
40°C or higher
$322 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature in Karachi on September 23 most likely between 34–36°C, driven by moderate westerly winds enhancing the Arabian Sea breeze that limits daytime heating despite clear skies and high solar insolation typical of post-monsoon conditions. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects model agreement on minimal cloud cover and humidity levels near 55–65% that moderate but do not suppress maximums, while slight variations in wind strength or timing could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 34–35°C provide baseline context, with upcoming updated runs from global models expected to refine the narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$609End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature in Karachi on September 23 most likely between 34–36°C, driven by moderate westerly winds enhancing the Arabian Sea breeze that limits daytime heating despite clear skies and high solar insolation typical of post-monsoon conditions. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects model agreement on minimal cloud cover and humidity levels near 55–65% that moderate but do not suppress maximums, while slight variations in wind strength or timing could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 34–35°C provide baseline context, with upcoming updated runs from global models expected to refine the narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$609End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature in Karachi on September 23 most likely between 34–36°C, driven by moderate westerly winds enhancing the Arabian Sea breeze that limits daytime heating despite clear skies and high solar insolation typical of post-monsoon conditions. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects model agreement on minimal cloud cover and humidity levels near 55–65% that moderate but do not suppress maximums, while slight variations in wind strength or timing could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 34–35°C provide baseline context, with upcoming updated runs from global models expected to refine the narrow range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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