Tunisia leads the market for finishing last in World Cup Group F at 59.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of other contenders near 50%, reflecting traders' view of the African side as the weakest on paper against Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden. Pre-tournament assessments highlight Tunisia's lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success compared to the European and Asian sides' stronger squads and deeper benches. With matches kicking off June 14, the tight pricing captures uncertainty around opening results, potential upsets, and how goal difference or head-to-head ties could decide the bottom spot. Early fixtures like Sweden vs. Tunisia and Netherlands vs. Japan will quickly shift probabilities once results establish momentum or eliminate one team from contention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWorld Cup: Group F Last Place
World Cup: Group F Last Place
Tunisia 60%
Sweden 25%
Japan 15%
Netherlands 3.8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
Tunisia
60%
Sweden
25%
Japan
15%
Netherlands
4%
Tunisia 60%
Sweden 25%
Japan 15%
Netherlands 3.8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
Tunisia
$1,963 Vol.
60%
Sweden
$75 Vol.
25%
Japan
$9 Vol.
15%
Netherlands
$152 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tunisia leads the market for finishing last in World Cup Group F at 59.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of other contenders near 50%, reflecting traders' view of the African side as the weakest on paper against Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden. Pre-tournament assessments highlight Tunisia's lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success compared to the European and Asian sides' stronger squads and deeper benches. With matches kicking off June 14, the tight pricing captures uncertainty around opening results, potential upsets, and how goal difference or head-to-head ties could decide the bottom spot. Early fixtures like Sweden vs. Tunisia and Netherlands vs. Japan will quickly shift probabilities once results establish momentum or eliminate one team from contention.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 4, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Volume
$2,199End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tunisia leads the market for finishing last in World Cup Group F at 59.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of other contenders near 50%, reflecting traders' view of the African side as the weakest on paper against Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden. Pre-tournament assessments highlight Tunisia's lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success compared to the European and Asian sides' stronger squads and deeper benches. With matches kicking off June 14, the tight pricing captures uncertainty around opening results, potential upsets, and how goal difference or head-to-head ties could decide the bottom spot. Early fixtures like Sweden vs. Tunisia and Netherlands vs. Japan will quickly shift probabilities once results establish momentum or eliminate one team from contention.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,199End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tunisia leads the market for finishing last in World Cup Group F at 59.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of other contenders near 50%, reflecting traders' view of the African side as the weakest on paper against Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden. Pre-tournament assessments highlight Tunisia's lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success compared to the European and Asian sides' stronger squads and deeper benches. With matches kicking off June 14, the tight pricing captures uncertainty around opening results, potential upsets, and how goal difference or head-to-head ties could decide the bottom spot. Early fixtures like Sweden vs. Tunisia and Netherlands vs. Japan will quickly shift probabilities once results establish momentum or eliminate one team from contention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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