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Économie·Taux Globaux

Décision de la Banque de Russie en juin ?

icon for Décision de la Banque de Russie en juin ?
Économie·Taux Globaux

Décision de la Banque de Russie en juin ?

juin 19

juil. 24

juin 19

juil. 24

Decrease 86%

No Change 13%

Increase 2.1%

Polymarket

$50,676 Vol.

Decrease 86%

No Change 13%

Increase 2.1%

Polymarket

$50,676 Vol.

Decrease

$20,173 Vol.

86%

No Change

$10,324 Vol.

13%

Increase

$20,180 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50% has anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the June 19 meeting, with the current 14.50% policy rate reflecting accumulated monetary tightness amid cooling inflation pressures. Year-over-year inflation has moderated toward 5.7-5.9% in recent readings, supported by ruble appreciation near 74 USD/RUB and easing inflation expectations, aligning with the central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0-14.5% in 2026 and a return to the 4% target by year-end. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties underpin the modest 12.5% probability of no change, while any rate hike remains remote at 2.1%. May CPI data and Governor Nabiullina's communications will provide key signals ahead of the next policy decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$50,676
Date de fin
19 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50% has anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the June 19 meeting, with the current 14.50% policy rate reflecting accumulated monetary tightness amid cooling inflation pressures. Year-over-year inflation has moderated toward 5.7-5.9% in recent readings, supported by ruble appreciation near 74 USD/RUB and easing inflation expectations, aligning with the central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0-14.5% in 2026 and a return to the 4% target by year-end. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties underpin the modest 12.5% probability of no change, while any rate hike remains remote at 2.1%. May CPI data and Governor Nabiullina's communications will provide key signals ahead of the next policy decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$50,676
Date de fin
19 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Banque de Russie en juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Decrease » à 86%, suivi de « No Change » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 86¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Décision de la Banque de Russie en juin ? » a généré $50.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Banque de Russie en juin ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Banque de Russie en juin ? » est « Decrease » à 86%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « No Change » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Banque de Russie en juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.