The June 10, 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics release of May 2026 Core CPI at 2.9% year-over-year—exactly matching consensus forecasts and marking the highest level since September 2025—has locked in near-certain market-implied odds. Key contributors included shelter costs rising 3.4%, transportation services at 4.1%, and medical care services at 3.6%, while used vehicles and medical commodities declined. The 0.2% month-over-month increase came in below the 0.3% expectation. With resolution imminent, traders price in minimal revision risk ahead of the July 14 release for June data, though any subsequent seasonal adjustment or component re-estimation could theoretically alter final readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCore CPI YoY - Mai 2026
Core CPI YoY - Mai 2026
2.9% 100.0%
≤2.4% <1%
2.5% <1%
2.6% <1%
$7,939 Vol.
$7,939 Vol.
10 juin 2026
≤2.4%
<1%
2.5%
<1%
2.6%
<1%
2.7%
<1%
2.8%
<1%
2.9%
100%
3.0%
<1%
3.1%
<1%
3.2%
<1%
≥3.3%
<1%
2.9% 100.0%
≤2.4% <1%
2.5% <1%
2.6% <1%
$7,939 Vol.
$7,939 Vol.
10 juin 2026
≤2.4%
$713 Vol.
<1%
2.5%
$359 Vol.
<1%
2.6%
$575 Vol.
<1%
2.7%
$548 Vol.
<1%
2.8%
$2,000 Vol.
<1%
2.9%
$735 Vol.
100%
3.0%
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
3.1%
$719 Vol.
<1%
3.2%
$650 Vol.
<1%
≥3.3%
$627 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The June 10, 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics release of May 2026 Core CPI at 2.9% year-over-year—exactly matching consensus forecasts and marking the highest level since September 2025—has locked in near-certain market-implied odds. Key contributors included shelter costs rising 3.4%, transportation services at 4.1%, and medical care services at 3.6%, while used vehicles and medical commodities declined. The 0.2% month-over-month increase came in below the 0.3% expectation. With resolution imminent, traders price in minimal revision risk ahead of the July 14 release for June data, though any subsequent seasonal adjustment or component re-estimation could theoretically alter final readings.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$7,939Date de fin
10 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The June 10, 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics release of May 2026 Core CPI at 2.9% year-over-year—exactly matching consensus forecasts and marking the highest level since September 2025—has locked in near-certain market-implied odds. Key contributors included shelter costs rising 3.4%, transportation services at 4.1%, and medical care services at 3.6%, while used vehicles and medical commodities declined. The 0.2% month-over-month increase came in below the 0.3% expectation. With resolution imminent, traders price in minimal revision risk ahead of the July 14 release for June data, though any subsequent seasonal adjustment or component re-estimation could theoretically alter final readings.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$7,939Date de fin
10 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 10, 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics release of May 2026 Core CPI at 2.9% year-over-year—exactly matching consensus forecasts and marking the highest level since September 2025—has locked in near-certain market-implied odds. Key contributors included shelter costs rising 3.4%, transportation services at 4.1%, and medical care services at 3.6%, while used vehicles and medical commodities declined. The 0.2% month-over-month increase came in below the 0.3% expectation. With resolution imminent, traders price in minimal revision risk ahead of the July 14 release for June data, though any subsequent seasonal adjustment or component re-estimation could theoretically alter final readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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