President Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDonald Trump # Truth Social posts 15 mai - 22 mai 2026 ?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts 15 mai - 22 mai 2026 ?
200+ 58%
180-199 14.0%
140-159 9%
160-179 8%
$22,859 Vol.
$22,859 Vol.
22 mai 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
6%
140-159
9%
160-179
8%
180-199
14%
200+
63%
200+ 58%
180-199 14.0%
140-159 9%
160-179 8%
$22,859 Vol.
$22,859 Vol.
22 mai 2026
60-79
$2,317 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$4,871 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,269 Vol.
1%
120-139
$1,167 Vol.
6%
140-159
$484 Vol.
9%
160-179
$352 Vol.
8%
180-199
$585 Vol.
14%
200+
$941 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$22,859Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$22,859Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social during his second term drive the current trader consensus favoring 200 or more posts for the May 15–22 window. Historical data show an average of roughly 18 posts per day across 2025, with frequent late-night and early-morning surges that have produced daily totals exceeding 50 or even 70 posts on multiple occasions. Recent analyses of thousands of posts confirm these high-volume bursts remain a consistent feature, elevating the implied probability that this week will exceed 200 entries. Scheduled events within the resolution period, including ongoing legislative activity and public appearances, provide additional catalysts that traders appear to weigh when assessing volume.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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