The FL-22 Republican primary, scheduled for August 18, remains a statistical dead heat among three self-funded frontrunners, with trader prices reflecting recent polling that shows Belinda Keiser, Casey Askar, and Michael Carbonara separated by just a few points amid more than 40 percent undecided voters. Carbonara holds the edge in prediction-market pricing after securing a Club for Growth endorsement and related advertising, while Askar and Keiser maintain competitive positioning through substantial personal spending and name recognition in the newly redrawn open seat. Lower-polling candidates including David Burck trail further behind, with minimal movement in the final days before voting. Late shifts in undecided support or additional outside spending could still alter the outcome before polls close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMichael Carbonara 45%
Belinda Keiser 22%
David Burck 13.6%
Casey Askar 10.7%
$68,708 Vol.
$68,708 Vol.
Michael Carbonara
45%
Belinda Keiser
22%
David Burck
14%
Casey Askar
16%
Richard Evans
<1%
Terri Hasdorff
<1%
Michael Thompson
<1%
Michael Carbonara 45%
Belinda Keiser 22%
David Burck 13.6%
Casey Askar 10.7%
$68,708 Vol.
$68,708 Vol.
Michael Carbonara
45%
Belinda Keiser
22%
David Burck
14%
Casey Askar
16%
Richard Evans
<1%
Terri Hasdorff
<1%
Michael Thompson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The FL-22 Republican primary, scheduled for August 18, remains a statistical dead heat among three self-funded frontrunners, with trader prices reflecting recent polling that shows Belinda Keiser, Casey Askar, and Michael Carbonara separated by just a few points amid more than 40 percent undecided voters. Carbonara holds the edge in prediction-market pricing after securing a Club for Growth endorsement and related advertising, while Askar and Keiser maintain competitive positioning through substantial personal spending and name recognition in the newly redrawn open seat. Lower-polling candidates including David Burck trail further behind, with minimal movement in the final days before voting. Late shifts in undecided support or additional outside spending could still alter the outcome before polls close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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