The FL-22 Republican primary, scheduled for August 18, remains a statistical dead heat among three self-funded frontrunners, with trader prices reflecting recent polling that shows Belinda Keiser, Casey Askar, and Michael Carbonara separated by just a few points amid more than 40 percent undecided voters. Carbonara holds the edge in prediction-market pricing after securing a Club for Growth endorsement and related advertising, while Askar and Keiser maintain competitive positioning through substantial personal spending and name recognition in the newly redrawn open seat. Lower-polling candidates including David Burck trail further behind, with minimal movement in the final days before voting. Late shifts in undecided support or additional outside spending could still alter the outcome before polls close.