Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official monitoring station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s strong 89% implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today, with historical analogs confirming similar autumn cooling patterns after cold fronts. Minor uncertainty remains from possible afternoon cloud breaks or slight forecast revisions, but current observations align closely with the leading bracket as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 17 mai ?
14°C 95.5%
15°C 2.5%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,730 Vol.
$28,730 Vol.
17 mai 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
96%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 95.5%
15°C 2.5%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,730 Vol.
$28,730 Vol.
17 mai 2026
9°C or below
$1,400 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,712 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,422 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,928 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,048 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,021 Vol.
96%
15°C
$2,650 Vol.
2%
16°C
$2,955 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,933 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,662 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$3,427 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official monitoring station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s strong 89% implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today, with historical analogs confirming similar autumn cooling patterns after cold fronts. Minor uncertainty remains from possible afternoon cloud breaks or slight forecast revisions, but current observations align closely with the leading bracket as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$28,730Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official monitoring station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s strong 89% implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today, with historical analogs confirming similar autumn cooling patterns after cold fronts. Minor uncertainty remains from possible afternoon cloud breaks or slight forecast revisions, but current observations align closely with the leading bracket as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,730Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZRecent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official monitoring station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s strong 89% implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today, with historical analogs confirming similar autumn cooling patterns after cold fronts. Minor uncertainty remains from possible afternoon cloud breaks or slight forecast revisions, but current observations align closely with the leading bracket as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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