Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 mai ?
35°C or higher 78%
34°C 17%
33°C 4.5%
31°C 2.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
78%
35°C or higher 78%
34°C 17%
33°C 4.5%
31°C 2.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$100 Vol.
1%
27°C
$75 Vol.
1%
28°C
$85 Vol.
1%
29°C
$126 Vol.
1%
30°C
$110 Vol.
1%
31°C
$30 Vol.
3%
32°C
$68 Vol.
3%
33°C
$44 Vol.
5%
34°C
$34 Vol.
17%
35°C or higher
$112 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$983Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$983Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes