Latest Israel Meteorological Service and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus daytime highs of 24-25°C for Tel Aviv on May 16, driving trader sentiment toward those outcomes at 49.5% and 38% implied probabilities, respectively. After a mid-May heatwave peaked above 30°C on May 12-13 per NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's resolution station—a cooling trend from northerly winds and weakening high pressure has moderated expectations, with partly cloudy skies and westerly sea breezes capping intensities below recent extremes. Historical May averages hover around 25°C, aligning with this positioning, though model ensembles indicate ±1°C uncertainty from diurnal heating or cloud variability; monitor IMS afternoon updates and real-time airport data as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
25°C 50%
24°C 38%
26°C 13%
23°C 4.0%
NOUVEAU
$11,650 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,650 Vol.
16 mai 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
38%
25°C
50%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 50%
24°C 38%
26°C 13%
23°C 4.0%
NOUVEAU
$11,650 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,650 Vol.
16 mai 2026
18°C or below
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$690 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$823 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,149 Vol.
1%
22°C
$687 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,011 Vol.
4%
24°C
$1,097 Vol.
38%
25°C
$967 Vol.
50%
26°C
$811 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,321 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$1,840 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus daytime highs of 24-25°C for Tel Aviv on May 16, driving trader sentiment toward those outcomes at 49.5% and 38% implied probabilities, respectively. After a mid-May heatwave peaked above 30°C on May 12-13 per NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's resolution station—a cooling trend from northerly winds and weakening high pressure has moderated expectations, with partly cloudy skies and westerly sea breezes capping intensities below recent extremes. Historical May averages hover around 25°C, aligning with this positioning, though model ensembles indicate ±1°C uncertainty from diurnal heating or cloud variability; monitor IMS afternoon updates and real-time airport data as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$11,650Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus daytime highs of 24-25°C for Tel Aviv on May 16, driving trader sentiment toward those outcomes at 49.5% and 38% implied probabilities, respectively. After a mid-May heatwave peaked above 30°C on May 12-13 per NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's resolution station—a cooling trend from northerly winds and weakening high pressure has moderated expectations, with partly cloudy skies and westerly sea breezes capping intensities below recent extremes. Historical May averages hover around 25°C, aligning with this positioning, though model ensembles indicate ±1°C uncertainty from diurnal heating or cloud variability; monitor IMS afternoon updates and real-time airport data as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,650Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus daytime highs of 24-25°C for Tel Aviv on May 16, driving trader sentiment toward those outcomes at 49.5% and 38% implied probabilities, respectively. After a mid-May heatwave peaked above 30°C on May 12-13 per NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's resolution station—a cooling trend from northerly winds and weakening high pressure has moderated expectations, with partly cloudy skies and westerly sea breezes capping intensities below recent extremes. Historical May averages hover around 25°C, aligning with this positioning, though model ensembles indicate ±1°C uncertainty from diurnal heating or cloud variability; monitor IMS afternoon updates and real-time airport data as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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