Current meteorological observations and forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 28°C, with this slightly cooler outcome consistent with recent model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects real-time alignment between official station data and short-range numerical weather prediction outputs. Minor adjustments could arise only from final post-analysis revisions to the official record or unexpected local microclimate effects, though both remain low-probability given the stability of current atmospheric patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 17 mai ?
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGCurrent meteorological observations and forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 28°C, with this slightly cooler outcome consistent with recent model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects real-time alignment between official station data and short-range numerical weather prediction outputs. Minor adjustments could arise only from final post-analysis revisions to the official record or unexpected local microclimate effects, though both remain low-probability given the stability of current atmospheric patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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