Official Met Office forecasts and observational data for London on August 15, 2026, converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C amid mostly sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and reduced humidity following the prior day’s 34°C peak. This aligned with broader cooling trends after a mid-August heat dome, placing the observed high squarely in the mid-20s range consistent with seasonal baselines and model consensus. Traders assigned 100% implied probability to 26°C because real-time verification from official stations matched these parameters with minimal uncertainty. Only a late surge in insolation, unforecast advection of warmer air, or measurement discrepancies at key sites like Heathrow could realistically shift the recorded maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 août ?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$176,924 Vol.
$176,924 Vol.
15 août 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$176,924 Vol.
$176,924 Vol.
15 août 2026
20°C or below
$3,481 Vol.
No
21°C
$636 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,461 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,957 Vol.
No
24°C
$16,673 Vol.
No
25°C
$39,924 Vol.
No
26°C
$32,006 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$29,384 Vol.
No
28°C
$17,081 Vol.
No
29°C
$17,827 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$13,493 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and observational data for London on August 15, 2026, converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C amid mostly sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and reduced humidity following the prior day’s 34°C peak. This aligned with broader cooling trends after a mid-August heat dome, placing the observed high squarely in the mid-20s range consistent with seasonal baselines and model consensus. Traders assigned 100% implied probability to 26°C because real-time verification from official stations matched these parameters with minimal uncertainty. Only a late surge in insolation, unforecast advection of warmer air, or measurement discrepancies at key sites like Heathrow could realistically shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$176,924Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and observational data for London on August 15, 2026, converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C amid mostly sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and reduced humidity following the prior day’s 34°C peak. This aligned with broader cooling trends after a mid-August heat dome, placing the observed high squarely in the mid-20s range consistent with seasonal baselines and model consensus. Traders assigned 100% implied probability to 26°C because real-time verification from official stations matched these parameters with minimal uncertainty. Only a late surge in insolation, unforecast advection of warmer air, or measurement discrepancies at key sites like Heathrow could realistically shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$176,924Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official Met Office forecasts and observational data for London on August 15, 2026, converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C amid mostly sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and reduced humidity following the prior day’s 34°C peak. This aligned with broader cooling trends after a mid-August heat dome, placing the observed high squarely in the mid-20s range consistent with seasonal baselines and model consensus. Traders assigned 100% implied probability to 26°C because real-time verification from official stations matched these parameters with minimal uncertainty. Only a late surge in insolation, unforecast advection of warmer air, or measurement discrepancies at key sites like Heathrow could realistically shift the recorded maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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