Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 17 mai ?
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
17°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,151 Vol.
$158,151 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
17°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,151 Vol.
$158,151 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
$997 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,915 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$8,287 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12,717 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$13,308 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$19,210 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$26,720 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$30,114 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$19,066 Vol.
100%
19°C
$19,217 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$158,151Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$158,151Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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