**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 29–31°C with a 90% chance of rain driven by the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation, suppressing daytime peaks 1–3°C below the seasonal 31–32°C average recorded at Manila stations. Recent model consensus and ongoing monsoon flow mirror conditions that produced a 30°C peak on August 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (44.5% for 29°C, 26.5% for 30°C) to these moderated outcomes. High humidity and variable shower timing introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, though current guidance points to limited intensification potential before the next forecast update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 6 août ?
29°C 45%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
45%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 45%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$226 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
3%
28°C
$144 Vol.
18%
29°C
$1,941 Vol.
45%
30°C
$582 Vol.
28%
31°C
$307 Vol.
5%
32°C
$116 Vol.
1%
33°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$109 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 29–31°C with a 90% chance of rain driven by the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation, suppressing daytime peaks 1–3°C below the seasonal 31–32°C average recorded at Manila stations. Recent model consensus and ongoing monsoon flow mirror conditions that produced a 30°C peak on August 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (44.5% for 29°C, 26.5% for 30°C) to these moderated outcomes. High humidity and variable shower timing introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, though current guidance points to limited intensification potential before the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,300Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 29–31°C with a 90% chance of rain driven by the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation, suppressing daytime peaks 1–3°C below the seasonal 31–32°C average recorded at Manila stations. Recent model consensus and ongoing monsoon flow mirror conditions that produced a 30°C peak on August 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (44.5% for 29°C, 26.5% for 30°C) to these moderated outcomes. High humidity and variable shower timing introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, though current guidance points to limited intensification potential before the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,300Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 29–31°C with a 90% chance of rain driven by the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation, suppressing daytime peaks 1–3°C below the seasonal 31–32°C average recorded at Manila stations. Recent model consensus and ongoing monsoon flow mirror conditions that produced a 30°C peak on August 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (44.5% for 29°C, 26.5% for 30°C) to these moderated outcomes. High humidity and variable shower timing introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, though current guidance points to limited intensification potential before the next forecast update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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