Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a maximum temperature of 24°C in Moscow on August 16, driving the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward that exact outcome. This consensus stems from observed atmospheric conditions, model runs incorporating regional pressure patterns and seasonal baselines for mid-August, when average highs typically range 20–23°C. Official resolution will depend on the precise reading at the designated Moscow weather station. Scenarios that could alter this include rapid frontal shifts or localized convective activity pushing the peak higher or lower by even 1°C, or revisions in final observational data once the day concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 16 août ?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$35,164 Vol.
$35,164 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$35,164 Vol.
$35,164 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a maximum temperature of 24°C in Moscow on August 16, driving the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward that exact outcome. This consensus stems from observed atmospheric conditions, model runs incorporating regional pressure patterns and seasonal baselines for mid-August, when average highs typically range 20–23°C. Official resolution will depend on the precise reading at the designated Moscow weather station. Scenarios that could alter this include rapid frontal shifts or localized convective activity pushing the peak higher or lower by even 1°C, or revisions in final observational data once the day concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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