Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System, points to a daytime maximum of 26°C in Moscow under overcast skies with light rain and southerly flow advecting milder air. This alignment with observed surface temperatures and boundary-layer stability has produced the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for that exact threshold. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18–20°C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm episode rather than a long-term shift. A faster-moving cold front or heavier precipitation bands could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close, though guidance indicates low likelihood of such a revision before the daily maximum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 17 mai ?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,330 Vol.
$44,330 Vol.
17 mai 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,330 Vol.
$44,330 Vol.
17 mai 2026
18°C or below
$1,628 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,344 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,934 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,335 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,517 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,198 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,848 Vol.
100%
27°C
$5,517 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System, points to a daytime maximum of 26°C in Moscow under overcast skies with light rain and southerly flow advecting milder air. This alignment with observed surface temperatures and boundary-layer stability has produced the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for that exact threshold. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18–20°C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm episode rather than a long-term shift. A faster-moving cold front or heavier precipitation bands could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close, though guidance indicates low likelihood of such a revision before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$44,330Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System, points to a daytime maximum of 26°C in Moscow under overcast skies with light rain and southerly flow advecting milder air. This alignment with observed surface temperatures and boundary-layer stability has produced the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for that exact threshold. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18–20°C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm episode rather than a long-term shift. A faster-moving cold front or heavier precipitation bands could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close, though guidance indicates low likelihood of such a revision before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,330Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Global Forecast System, points to a daytime maximum of 26°C in Moscow under overcast skies with light rain and southerly flow advecting milder air. This alignment with observed surface temperatures and boundary-layer stability has produced the overwhelming market-implied probability near 100 percent for that exact threshold. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18–20°C, so the current anomaly reflects a transient warm episode rather than a long-term shift. A faster-moving cold front or heavier precipitation bands could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before evening observations close, though guidance indicates low likelihood of such a revision before the daily maximum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes