Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional model ensembles point to a daytime maximum in Taipei of 31–32°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong solar heating. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat. Ensemble spread and afternoon convection potential create the tight contest between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while urban heat-island effects around the official Songshan station could nudge the recorded peak slightly higher. Traders are monitoring the final pre-dawn model runs and any last-minute moisture influx that might cap temperatures below 31°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Taipei le 18 mai ?
32°C 32%
31°C 24%
30°C 19%
33°C 18%
$10,705 Vol.
$10,705 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
19%
31°C
24%
32°C
32%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 32%
31°C 24%
30°C 19%
33°C 18%
$10,705 Vol.
$10,705 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
19%
31°C
24%
32°C
32%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRecent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional model ensembles point to a daytime maximum in Taipei of 31–32°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong solar heating. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat. Ensemble spread and afternoon convection potential create the tight contest between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while urban heat-island effects around the official Songshan station could nudge the recorded peak slightly higher. Traders are monitoring the final pre-dawn model runs and any last-minute moisture influx that might cap temperatures below 31°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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