Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 29°C on August 16, 2026, under cloudy skies with frequent scattered showers that limit daytime heating and keep surface temperatures moderate. Model consensus and historical August patterns in central Japan support this range, with typical highs of 28–31°C during humid, unsettled periods influenced by seasonal monsoon remnants and variable steering flows. Trader positioning around 29°C (38.5% implied probability) and 28–30°C reflects this consensus, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any late intensification that could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 16 août ?
29°C 39%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
27°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$16,506 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,506 Vol.
16 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
24%
29°C
39%
30°C
23%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
27°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$16,506 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,506 Vol.
16 août 2026
24°C or below
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$528 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,212 Vol.
7%
28°C
$1,449 Vol.
24%
29°C
$2,335 Vol.
39%
30°C
$3,159 Vol.
23%
31°C
$892 Vol.
6%
32°C
$2,168 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,537 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$568 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 29°C on August 16, 2026, under cloudy skies with frequent scattered showers that limit daytime heating and keep surface temperatures moderate. Model consensus and historical August patterns in central Japan support this range, with typical highs of 28–31°C during humid, unsettled periods influenced by seasonal monsoon remnants and variable steering flows. Trader positioning around 29°C (38.5% implied probability) and 28–30°C reflects this consensus, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any late intensification that could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,506Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 29°C on August 16, 2026, under cloudy skies with frequent scattered showers that limit daytime heating and keep surface temperatures moderate. Model consensus and historical August patterns in central Japan support this range, with typical highs of 28–31°C during humid, unsettled periods influenced by seasonal monsoon remnants and variable steering flows. Trader positioning around 29°C (38.5% implied probability) and 28–30°C reflects this consensus, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any late intensification that could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,506Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a Tokyo high near 29°C on August 16, 2026, under cloudy skies with frequent scattered showers that limit daytime heating and keep surface temperatures moderate. Model consensus and historical August patterns in central Japan support this range, with typical highs of 28–31°C during humid, unsettled periods influenced by seasonal monsoon remnants and variable steering flows. Trader positioning around 29°C (38.5% implied probability) and 28–30°C reflects this consensus, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any late intensification that could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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