Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, drives the 92.5% market-implied odds for a Zhengzhou high of 32°C or above on September 7. These projections show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds allowing daytime temperatures to reach 31–33°C before a stronger northeasterly flow and associated cooling arrives on September 8. Historical September climatology for the region supports highs near 29–31°C, making the current warm pattern a modest positive anomaly. A realistic challenge would require greater-than-expected afternoon cloud cover or an earlier frontal passage, though model agreement remains strong with limited spread at this short lead time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 7 septembre ?
32°C ou plus 62%
31°C 22%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
19%
31°C
22%
32°C ou plus
62%
32°C ou plus 62%
31°C 22%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$59 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37 Vol.
1%
25°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$37 Vol.
1%
27°C
$37 Vol.
1%
28°C
$37 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$10 Vol.
19%
31°C
$37 Vol.
22%
32°C ou plus
$120 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, drives the 92.5% market-implied odds for a Zhengzhou high of 32°C or above on September 7. These projections show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds allowing daytime temperatures to reach 31–33°C before a stronger northeasterly flow and associated cooling arrives on September 8. Historical September climatology for the region supports highs near 29–31°C, making the current warm pattern a modest positive anomaly. A realistic challenge would require greater-than-expected afternoon cloud cover or an earlier frontal passage, though model agreement remains strong with limited spread at this short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$461Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, drives the 92.5% market-implied odds for a Zhengzhou high of 32°C or above on September 7. These projections show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds allowing daytime temperatures to reach 31–33°C before a stronger northeasterly flow and associated cooling arrives on September 8. Historical September climatology for the region supports highs near 29–31°C, making the current warm pattern a modest positive anomaly. A realistic challenge would require greater-than-expected afternoon cloud cover or an earlier frontal passage, though model agreement remains strong with limited spread at this short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$461Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, drives the 92.5% market-implied odds for a Zhengzhou high of 32°C or above on September 7. These projections show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds allowing daytime temperatures to reach 31–33°C before a stronger northeasterly flow and associated cooling arrives on September 8. Historical September climatology for the region supports highs near 29–31°C, making the current warm pattern a modest positive anomaly. A realistic challenge would require greater-than-expected afternoon cloud cover or an earlier frontal passage, though model agreement remains strong with limited spread at this short lead time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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