Recent hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and the July FOMC's 9-3 decision—with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of an immediate 25-basis-point hike—have sustained divisions over the appropriate policy stance amid July PCE inflation holding at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures at 3.3%. Traders price these factors into closely matched implied probabilities for dissent counts at the September 15-16 meeting, where outcomes hinge on whether additional governors align with the existing hawks or incoming data and communications reinforce the majority's patience. Cooling labor market readings and energy price risks add uncertainty, leaving the path to two, three, or more dissents dependent on near-term Fedspeak and releases before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien de dissidents lors de la réunion de la Fed de septembre ?
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
0
12%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
0
12%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and the July FOMC's 9-3 decision—with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of an immediate 25-basis-point hike—have sustained divisions over the appropriate policy stance amid July PCE inflation holding at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures at 3.3%. Traders price these factors into closely matched implied probabilities for dissent counts at the September 15-16 meeting, where outcomes hinge on whether additional governors align with the existing hawks or incoming data and communications reinforce the majority's patience. Cooling labor market readings and energy price risks add uncertainty, leaving the path to two, three, or more dissents dependent on near-term Fedspeak and releases before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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