Minnesota’s eight congressional districts entered the 2026 election evenly split between the parties. Democrats held four seats while Republicans held four, with only the open Second District and the First District rated as competitive. Election-night results and subsequent counts showed Democrats retaining their four incumbents, flipping the open Second District, and maintaining leads in the remaining safe seats. The First District race between Democrat Jake Johnson and Republican incumbent Brad Finstad remains the closest contest, with Johnson holding a narrow edge that, if sustained through final certification or any recount, would produce five Democratic seats. Trader consensus on five seats reflects these confirmed outcomes and the low probability of reversal in the sole undecided race; a Republican hold in the First District would instead leave Democrats at four.