Iran and the IAEA have faced restricted inspector access to the Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan enrichment and storage sites since U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 damaged facilities and prompted Tehran to limit cooperation under its safeguards agreement. An interim U.S.-Iran memorandum in June 2026 explicitly provides for IAEA verification of enrichment activities and stockpile locations at these sites, with Director General Rafael Grossi stating that inspections would occur as part of the accord. Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on completion of a final agreement, while the IAEA has confirmed access only to unaffected locations such as Bushehr. Ongoing talks focus on modalities, timing, and procedures, with satellite monitoring showing sealed tunnel entrances and no major reconstruction at the targeted complexes as of mid-2026. Resolution of these access disputes will determine whether visits occur before any specified market deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'AIEA visite le site nucléaire d'Ispahan, de Fordow ou de Natanz avant le… ?
L'AIEA visite le site nucléaire d'Ispahan, de Fordow ou de Natanz avant le… ?
$344,228 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 août
1%
31 octobre
8%
31 décembre
21%
$344,228 Vol.
31 août
$52,630 Vol.
1%
31 octobre
$74,765 Vol.
8%
31 décembre
$23,510 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Iran and the IAEA have faced restricted inspector access to the Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan enrichment and storage sites since U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 damaged facilities and prompted Tehran to limit cooperation under its safeguards agreement. An interim U.S.-Iran memorandum in June 2026 explicitly provides for IAEA verification of enrichment activities and stockpile locations at these sites, with Director General Rafael Grossi stating that inspections would occur as part of the accord. Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on completion of a final agreement, while the IAEA has confirmed access only to unaffected locations such as Bushehr. Ongoing talks focus on modalities, timing, and procedures, with satellite monitoring showing sealed tunnel entrances and no major reconstruction at the targeted complexes as of mid-2026. Resolution of these access disputes will determine whether visits occur before any specified market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$344,228Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Iran and the IAEA have faced restricted inspector access to the Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan enrichment and storage sites since U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 damaged facilities and prompted Tehran to limit cooperation under its safeguards agreement. An interim U.S.-Iran memorandum in June 2026 explicitly provides for IAEA verification of enrichment activities and stockpile locations at these sites, with Director General Rafael Grossi stating that inspections would occur as part of the accord. Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on completion of a final agreement, while the IAEA has confirmed access only to unaffected locations such as Bushehr. Ongoing talks focus on modalities, timing, and procedures, with satellite monitoring showing sealed tunnel entrances and no major reconstruction at the targeted complexes as of mid-2026. Resolution of these access disputes will determine whether visits occur before any specified market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$344,228Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran and the IAEA have faced restricted inspector access to the Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan enrichment and storage sites since U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 damaged facilities and prompted Tehran to limit cooperation under its safeguards agreement. An interim U.S.-Iran memorandum in June 2026 explicitly provides for IAEA verification of enrichment activities and stockpile locations at these sites, with Director General Rafael Grossi stating that inspections would occur as part of the accord. Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on completion of a final agreement, while the IAEA has confirmed access only to unaffected locations such as Bushehr. Ongoing talks focus on modalities, timing, and procedures, with satellite monitoring showing sealed tunnel entrances and no major reconstruction at the targeted complexes as of mid-2026. Resolution of these access disputes will determine whether visits occur before any specified market deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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