Trader consensus at 99.8% against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 reflects the law's deep entrenchment and lack of any permanent legislative or executive pathway. Recent temporary waivers issued by the Trump administration in March 2026, extended through mid-May amid energy supply pressures, suspended cabotage rules only for select commodities and foreign-flag vessels on a short-term basis, preserving U.S.-build, ownership, flagging, and crewing mandates. Maritime unions and operators continue to emphasize national security and shipyard employment protections, while no congressional bills have advanced toward full repeal. This leaves market-implied odds anchored in historical precedent of incremental, reversible adjustments rather than structural change. A sudden national defense emergency could introduce tail risk, though the compressed timeline to resolution limits realistic scope for such shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$52,403 Vol.
$52,403 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$52,403 Vol.
$52,403 Vol.
30 juin 2026
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus at 99.8% against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 reflects the law's deep entrenchment and lack of any permanent legislative or executive pathway. Recent temporary waivers issued by the Trump administration in March 2026, extended through mid-May amid energy supply pressures, suspended cabotage rules only for select commodities and foreign-flag vessels on a short-term basis, preserving U.S.-build, ownership, flagging, and crewing mandates. Maritime unions and operators continue to emphasize national security and shipyard employment protections, while no congressional bills have advanced toward full repeal. This leaves market-implied odds anchored in historical precedent of incremental, reversible adjustments rather than structural change. A sudden national defense emergency could introduce tail risk, though the compressed timeline to resolution limits realistic scope for such shifts.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
Volume
$52,403Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus at 99.8% against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 reflects the law's deep entrenchment and lack of any permanent legislative or executive pathway. Recent temporary waivers issued by the Trump administration in March 2026, extended through mid-May amid energy supply pressures, suspended cabotage rules only for select commodities and foreign-flag vessels on a short-term basis, preserving U.S.-build, ownership, flagging, and crewing mandates. Maritime unions and operators continue to emphasize national security and shipyard employment protections, while no congressional bills have advanced toward full repeal. This leaves market-implied odds anchored in historical precedent of incremental, reversible adjustments rather than structural change. A sudden national defense emergency could introduce tail risk, though the compressed timeline to resolution limits realistic scope for such shifts.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$52,403Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus at 99.8% against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 reflects the law's deep entrenchment and lack of any permanent legislative or executive pathway. Recent temporary waivers issued by the Trump administration in March 2026, extended through mid-May amid energy supply pressures, suspended cabotage rules only for select commodities and foreign-flag vessels on a short-term basis, preserving U.S.-build, ownership, flagging, and crewing mandates. Maritime unions and operators continue to emphasize national security and shipyard employment protections, while no congressional bills have advanced toward full repeal. This leaves market-implied odds anchored in historical precedent of incremental, reversible adjustments rather than structural change. A sudden national defense emergency could introduce tail risk, though the compressed timeline to resolution limits realistic scope for such shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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