**Apvienotais Saraksts (AS)** leads trader pricing at 53.8% as recent SKDS/LTV polling consistently places the centrist-regional alliance first with 17–19% support ahead of the 3 October vote. Its position strengthened after Andris Kulbergs of AS formed a four-party caretaker government in late May 2026 following the collapse of the prior coalition amid drone-incursion tensions with Russia. **Latvija Pirmā Vietā (LPV)** and **Suverēnā Vara (SV)** sit near 19% each, tracking their steady 14–15% polling shares as populist and national-conservative options respectively, while the remaining parties trail well behind in both surveys and implied probabilities. With roughly seven weeks until election day, seat projections remain fluid given Latvia’s proportional system and 5% threshold, though AS maintains the clearest path to the largest bloc.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone
Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone
AS 53.7%
LPV 20%
SV 19.1%
PRO 6.0%
$186,158 Vol.
$186,158 Vol.
3 oct. 2026
AS
54%
LPV
20%
SV
19%
PRO
6%
NA
2%
JV
2%
S
<1%
ST!
<1%
ZZS
<1%
AS 53.7%
LPV 20%
SV 19.1%
PRO 6.0%
$186,158 Vol.
$186,158 Vol.
3 oct. 2026
AS
$31,578 Vol.
54%
LPV
$22,248 Vol.
20%
SV
$22,562 Vol.
19%
PRO
$28,878 Vol.
6%
NA
$7,828 Vol.
2%
JV
$12,198 Vol.
2%
S
$4,587 Vol.
<1%
ST!
$3,282 Vol.
<1%
ZZS
$52,997 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**Apvienotais Saraksts (AS)** leads trader pricing at 53.8% as recent SKDS/LTV polling consistently places the centrist-regional alliance first with 17–19% support ahead of the 3 October vote. Its position strengthened after Andris Kulbergs of AS formed a four-party caretaker government in late May 2026 following the collapse of the prior coalition amid drone-incursion tensions with Russia. **Latvija Pirmā Vietā (LPV)** and **Suverēnā Vara (SV)** sit near 19% each, tracking their steady 14–15% polling shares as populist and national-conservative options respectively, while the remaining parties trail well behind in both surveys and implied probabilities. With roughly seven weeks until election day, seat projections remain fluid given Latvia’s proportional system and 5% threshold, though AS maintains the clearest path to the largest bloc.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$186,158Date de fin
3 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**Apvienotais Saraksts (AS)** leads trader pricing at 53.8% as recent SKDS/LTV polling consistently places the centrist-regional alliance first with 17–19% support ahead of the 3 October vote. Its position strengthened after Andris Kulbergs of AS formed a four-party caretaker government in late May 2026 following the collapse of the prior coalition amid drone-incursion tensions with Russia. **Latvija Pirmā Vietā (LPV)** and **Suverēnā Vara (SV)** sit near 19% each, tracking their steady 14–15% polling shares as populist and national-conservative options respectively, while the remaining parties trail well behind in both surveys and implied probabilities. With roughly seven weeks until election day, seat projections remain fluid given Latvia’s proportional system and 5% threshold, though AS maintains the clearest path to the largest bloc.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volume
$186,158Date de fin
3 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Apvienotais Saraksts (AS)** leads trader pricing at 53.8% as recent SKDS/LTV polling consistently places the centrist-regional alliance first with 17–19% support ahead of the 3 October vote. Its position strengthened after Andris Kulbergs of AS formed a four-party caretaker government in late May 2026 following the collapse of the prior coalition amid drone-incursion tensions with Russia. **Latvija Pirmā Vietā (LPV)** and **Suverēnā Vara (SV)** sit near 19% each, tracking their steady 14–15% polling shares as populist and national-conservative options respectively, while the remaining parties trail well behind in both surveys and implied probabilities. With roughly seven weeks until election day, seat projections remain fluid given Latvia’s proportional system and 5% threshold, though AS maintains the clearest path to the largest bloc.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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