Trader consensus on Polymarket's Vancouver mayoral election market prices Vancouver Liberals leader Kareem Allam at 40.5% implied probability to edge incumbent ABC Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim at 33.5%, reflecting a fragmented field where progressive vote splitting among Green Party councillor Pete Fry (15.2%), OneCity's William Azaroff (5.9%), and others dilutes anti-Sim support despite an April 15 agreement by COPE, OneCity, and Greens to cap non-mayoral candidates. Allam, Sim's former chief of staff who launched his party in March 2026, draws moderate voters frustrated with the mayor's record amid February surveys showing even splits on re-election. Recent OneCity and COPE candidate announcements this week highlight ongoing disunity, keeping the race tight; separation could come from progressive consolidations, key endorsements, debates, or fresh polling on housing and affordability before the October 17 ballot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKareem Allam 41%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.2%
William Azaroff 5.1%
$66,796 Vol.
$66,796 Vol.

Kareem Allam
41%

Ken Sim
34%

Pete Fry
15%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
2%

John Coupar
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
Kareem Allam 41%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.2%
William Azaroff 5.1%
$66,796 Vol.
$66,796 Vol.

Kareem Allam
41%

Ken Sim
34%

Pete Fry
15%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
2%

John Coupar
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Vancouver mayoral election market prices Vancouver Liberals leader Kareem Allam at 40.5% implied probability to edge incumbent ABC Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim at 33.5%, reflecting a fragmented field where progressive vote splitting among Green Party councillor Pete Fry (15.2%), OneCity's William Azaroff (5.9%), and others dilutes anti-Sim support despite an April 15 agreement by COPE, OneCity, and Greens to cap non-mayoral candidates. Allam, Sim's former chief of staff who launched his party in March 2026, draws moderate voters frustrated with the mayor's record amid February surveys showing even splits on re-election. Recent OneCity and COPE candidate announcements this week highlight ongoing disunity, keeping the race tight; separation could come from progressive consolidations, key endorsements, debates, or fresh polling on housing and affordability before the October 17 ballot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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