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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone

AS 55.3%

LPV 21%

SV 17.6%

PRO 6.0%

Polymarket

$185,457 Vol.

AS 55.3%

LPV 21%

SV 17.6%

PRO 6.0%

Polymarket

$185,457 Vol.

AS

$31,307 Vol.

55%

LPV

$22,240 Vol.

21%

SV

$22,188 Vol.

18%

PRO

$28,870 Vol.

6%

NA

$7,820 Vol.

2%

JV

$12,190 Vol.

2%

S

$4,579 Vol.

<1%

ST!

$3,274 Vol.

<1%

ZZS

$52,989 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent opinion polls ahead of Latvia’s October 3, 2026 Saeima election show Apvienotais saraksts (AS) maintaining a narrow lead at 17–19%, ahead of Suverēnā vara (SV), Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV), and Progresīvie (PRO) clustered in the low-to-mid teens. This sustained polling edge underpins the market’s elevated probability for AS as the plurality winner. LPV and SV trail as right-wing populist alternatives with regional and value-conservative support, while PRO draws progressive voters and the governing Jaunā Vienotība (JV) and Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) register lower single-digit figures. Traders appear to weigh these trends alongside the 5% threshold and coalition arithmetic in a fragmented field, with no major late-campaign shocks reported in the past month.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volume
$185,457
Date de fin
3 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent opinion polls ahead of Latvia’s October 3, 2026 Saeima election show Apvienotais saraksts (AS) maintaining a narrow lead at 17–19%, ahead of Suverēnā vara (SV), Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV), and Progresīvie (PRO) clustered in the low-to-mid teens. This sustained polling edge underpins the market’s elevated probability for AS as the plurality winner. LPV and SV trail as right-wing populist alternatives with regional and value-conservative support, while PRO draws progressive voters and the governing Jaunā Vienotība (JV) and Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) register lower single-digit figures. Traders appear to weigh these trends alongside the 5% threshold and coalition arithmetic in a fragmented field, with no major late-campaign shocks reported in the past month.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volume
$185,457
Date de fin
3 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).

Connexes

icon for Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

30%
icon for Le Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?

Le Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?

98%
Oui
icon for Est-ce que Russie unie (ER) remportera le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?

Est-ce que Russie unie (ER) remportera le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?

98%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « AS » à 55%, suivi de « LPV » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 55¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone » a généré $185.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 16, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone » est « AS » à 55%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « LPV » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.