Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 16°C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air masses typical of early autumn high-pressure dominance at the city's ~900 m elevation. This setup favors strong nocturnal radiative cooling, though model consensus shows some spread around the exact minimum due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical September 3 averages near 12–14°C provide context, but recent stable conditions and absent cold-air intrusions support the market-implied tilt toward 14°C or below (50.5%) while elevating 15–16°C bins. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Ankara le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Ankara le 3 septembre ?
24°C ou plus 59%
14°C ou moins 51%
18°C 49%
15°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
51%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C
10%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
8%
24°C ou plus
59%
24°C ou plus 59%
14°C ou moins 51%
18°C 49%
15°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$5 Vol.
49%
19°C
$5 Vol.
10%
20°C
$5 Vol.
19%
21°C
$5 Vol.
19%
22°C
$5 Vol.
19%
23°C
$5 Vol.
8%
24°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 16°C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air masses typical of early autumn high-pressure dominance at the city's ~900 m elevation. This setup favors strong nocturnal radiative cooling, though model consensus shows some spread around the exact minimum due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical September 3 averages near 12–14°C provide context, but recent stable conditions and absent cold-air intrusions support the market-implied tilt toward 14°C or below (50.5%) while elevating 15–16°C bins. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$35Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 16°C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air masses typical of early autumn high-pressure dominance at the city's ~900 m elevation. This setup favors strong nocturnal radiative cooling, though model consensus shows some spread around the exact minimum due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical September 3 averages near 12–14°C provide context, but recent stable conditions and absent cold-air intrusions support the market-implied tilt toward 14°C or below (50.5%) while elevating 15–16°C bins. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 16°C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry air masses typical of early autumn high-pressure dominance at the city's ~900 m elevation. This setup favors strong nocturnal radiative cooling, though model consensus shows some spread around the exact minimum due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical September 3 averages near 12–14°C provide context, but recent stable conditions and absent cold-air intrusions support the market-implied tilt toward 14°C or below (50.5%) while elevating 15–16°C bins. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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