Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Afternoon showers and cloud cover have moderated daytime peaks to around 30–32°C, with the basin's topography trapping moist air and preventing sharper drops overnight. Historical August baselines show average lows of 22°C, but current stable high-pressure influences and lack of cold-air intrusions keep probabilities highest for 24°C. Updated model runs through the day will refine exact thresholds as observations accumulate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chengdu le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chengdu le 21 août ?
21°C 60%
20°C 59%
18°C 50%
22°C 34%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
17°C or below
18%
18°C
50%
19°C
11%
20°C
59%
21°C
60%
22°C
34%
23°C
33%
24°C
63%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 60%
20°C 59%
18°C 50%
22°C 34%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
17°C or below
$81 Vol.
18%
18°C
$61 Vol.
50%
19°C
$61 Vol.
11%
20°C
$92 Vol.
59%
21°C
$92 Vol.
60%
22°C
$0 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C
$44 Vol.
63%
25°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Afternoon showers and cloud cover have moderated daytime peaks to around 30–32°C, with the basin's topography trapping moist air and preventing sharper drops overnight. Historical August baselines show average lows of 22°C, but current stable high-pressure influences and lack of cold-air intrusions keep probabilities highest for 24°C. Updated model runs through the day will refine exact thresholds as observations accumulate.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$645Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Afternoon showers and cloud cover have moderated daytime peaks to around 30–32°C, with the basin's topography trapping moist air and preventing sharper drops overnight. Historical August baselines show average lows of 22°C, but current stable high-pressure influences and lack of cold-air intrusions keep probabilities highest for 24°C. Updated model runs through the day will refine exact thresholds as observations accumulate.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$645Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Afternoon showers and cloud cover have moderated daytime peaks to around 30–32°C, with the basin's topography trapping moist air and preventing sharper drops overnight. Historical August baselines show average lows of 22°C, but current stable high-pressure influences and lack of cold-air intrusions keep probabilities highest for 24°C. Updated model runs through the day will refine exact thresholds as observations accumulate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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