Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-50s°F for Denver on September 15, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a weak frontal passage that limits radiational cooling. This setup explains the market's elevated implied probability on the 45°F-or-below bin alongside notable support for 54-55°F and adjacent ranges, as traders weigh the potential for localized cold spots against the broader 50-58°F envelope typical for mid-September climatology. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk above 60°F given the current steering pattern, while historical analogs from similar early-fall transitions show occasional sub-50°F readings when clear skies align with stronger high pressure. Updated guidance expected from the Denver-Boulder NWS office this morning could further refine the minimum before the daily low locks in.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Denver le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Denver le 15 septembre ?
45°F ou moins 98%
64°F ou plus 97%
46-47°F 40%
58-59°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
45°F ou moins
98%
46-47°F
40%
48-49°F
22%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
40%
64°F ou plus
97%
45°F ou moins 98%
64°F ou plus 97%
46-47°F 40%
58-59°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
45°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
98%
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
40%
48-49°F
$12 Vol.
22%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
26%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
21%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
22%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
24%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
40%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
40%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
40%
64°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-50s°F for Denver on September 15, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a weak frontal passage that limits radiational cooling. This setup explains the market's elevated implied probability on the 45°F-or-below bin alongside notable support for 54-55°F and adjacent ranges, as traders weigh the potential for localized cold spots against the broader 50-58°F envelope typical for mid-September climatology. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk above 60°F given the current steering pattern, while historical analogs from similar early-fall transitions show occasional sub-50°F readings when clear skies align with stronger high pressure. Updated guidance expected from the Denver-Boulder NWS office this morning could further refine the minimum before the daily low locks in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$12Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-50s°F for Denver on September 15, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a weak frontal passage that limits radiational cooling. This setup explains the market's elevated implied probability on the 45°F-or-below bin alongside notable support for 54-55°F and adjacent ranges, as traders weigh the potential for localized cold spots against the broader 50-58°F envelope typical for mid-September climatology. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk above 60°F given the current steering pattern, while historical analogs from similar early-fall transitions show occasional sub-50°F readings when clear skies align with stronger high pressure. Updated guidance expected from the Denver-Boulder NWS office this morning could further refine the minimum before the daily low locks in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-50s°F for Denver on September 15, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a weak frontal passage that limits radiational cooling. This setup explains the market's elevated implied probability on the 45°F-or-below bin alongside notable support for 54-55°F and adjacent ranges, as traders weigh the potential for localized cold spots against the broader 50-58°F envelope typical for mid-September climatology. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk above 60°F given the current steering pattern, while historical analogs from similar early-fall transitions show occasional sub-50°F readings when clear skies align with stronger high pressure. Updated guidance expected from the Denver-Boulder NWS office this morning could further refine the minimum before the daily low locks in.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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