Recent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and elevated humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 25–27 °C for the August 26 minimum. Official IMD guidance projects a low near 26 °C under overcast skies with scattered rain or thundershowers, while numerical models show minor spread from 25–27 °C depending on exact timing of breaks in cloud and local wind shifts. This range aligns with recent observed minima (24–27 °C) and seasonal norms for late August, when persistent moisture typically suppresses clear-sky cooling. Traders appear to be weighting forecast uncertainty and model divergence ahead of the next 24-hour updates from regional meteorological centers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Lucknow le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Lucknow le 26 août ?
25°C 31%
26°C 31%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
31%
26°C
31%
27°C
31%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 31%
26°C 31%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
22°C or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$60 Vol.
1%
24°C
$80 Vol.
3%
25°C
$30 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
31%
27°C
$5 Vol.
31%
28°C
$1,284 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$160 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$900 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and elevated humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 25–27 °C for the August 26 minimum. Official IMD guidance projects a low near 26 °C under overcast skies with scattered rain or thundershowers, while numerical models show minor spread from 25–27 °C depending on exact timing of breaks in cloud and local wind shifts. This range aligns with recent observed minima (24–27 °C) and seasonal norms for late August, when persistent moisture typically suppresses clear-sky cooling. Traders appear to be weighting forecast uncertainty and model divergence ahead of the next 24-hour updates from regional meteorological centers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,099Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and elevated humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 25–27 °C for the August 26 minimum. Official IMD guidance projects a low near 26 °C under overcast skies with scattered rain or thundershowers, while numerical models show minor spread from 25–27 °C depending on exact timing of breaks in cloud and local wind shifts. This range aligns with recent observed minima (24–27 °C) and seasonal norms for late August, when persistent moisture typically suppresses clear-sky cooling. Traders appear to be weighting forecast uncertainty and model divergence ahead of the next 24-hour updates from regional meteorological centers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,099Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and elevated humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 25–27 °C for the August 26 minimum. Official IMD guidance projects a low near 26 °C under overcast skies with scattered rain or thundershowers, while numerical models show minor spread from 25–27 °C depending on exact timing of breaks in cloud and local wind shifts. This range aligns with recent observed minima (24–27 °C) and seasonal norms for late August, when persistent moisture typically suppresses clear-sky cooling. Traders appear to be weighting forecast uncertainty and model divergence ahead of the next 24-hour updates from regional meteorological centers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes