Recent monsoon conditions in northern India, including widespread cloud cover and frequent thundershowers, are moderating daytime heating in Lucknow and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C for August 27. Official India Meteorological Department guidance indicates generally cloudy skies with light rain or thundershowers, limiting insolation while high humidity (near 80 %) and easterly winds favor afternoon temperatures in the low-30s °C range. Ensemble forecasts from global models align with this consensus, though small differences in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 32 °C under similar regimes, with heavier localized convection often capping peaks below 34 °C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 27 août ?
30°C 32%
31°C 28%
32°C 27%
29°C 19%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
19%
30°C
32%
31°C
30%
32°C
27%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 28%
32°C 27%
29°C 19%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
19%
30°C
32%
31°C
30%
32°C
27%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon conditions in northern India, including widespread cloud cover and frequent thundershowers, are moderating daytime heating in Lucknow and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C for August 27. Official India Meteorological Department guidance indicates generally cloudy skies with light rain or thundershowers, limiting insolation while high humidity (near 80 %) and easterly winds favor afternoon temperatures in the low-30s °C range. Ensemble forecasts from global models align with this consensus, though small differences in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 32 °C under similar regimes, with heavier localized convection often capping peaks below 34 °C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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