Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles point to a minimum near 18–19 °C overnight in Madrid on 21 August, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. With dew points around 13–14 °C and minimal cloud cover, surface temperatures are expected to fall steadily after sunset, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological low of 18.9 °C for the date. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps the 17–20 °C range tightly contested in trader positioning, while probabilities for extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C remain negligible absent any unexpected frontal passage or increased humidity. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the exact minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 21 août ?
16°C 48%
19°C 34%
20°C 33%
17°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
13%
16°C
48%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
34%
20°C
28%
21°C
10%
22°C
9%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 48%
19°C 34%
20°C 33%
17°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
14°C ou moins
$90 Vol.
1%
15°C
$114 Vol.
13%
16°C
$94 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$1 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
34%
20°C
$30 Vol.
28%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou plus
$209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles point to a minimum near 18–19 °C overnight in Madrid on 21 August, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. With dew points around 13–14 °C and minimal cloud cover, surface temperatures are expected to fall steadily after sunset, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological low of 18.9 °C for the date. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps the 17–20 °C range tightly contested in trader positioning, while probabilities for extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C remain negligible absent any unexpected frontal passage or increased humidity. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$590Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles point to a minimum near 18–19 °C overnight in Madrid on 21 August, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. With dew points around 13–14 °C and minimal cloud cover, surface temperatures are expected to fall steadily after sunset, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological low of 18.9 °C for the date. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps the 17–20 °C range tightly contested in trader positioning, while probabilities for extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C remain negligible absent any unexpected frontal passage or increased humidity. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$590Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and international ensembles point to a minimum near 18–19 °C overnight in Madrid on 21 August, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. With dew points around 13–14 °C and minimal cloud cover, surface temperatures are expected to fall steadily after sunset, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological low of 18.9 °C for the date. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps the 17–20 °C range tightly contested in trader positioning, while probabilities for extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C remain negligible absent any unexpected frontal passage or increased humidity. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the exact minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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