Official AEMET forecasts indicate an 18°C minimum for Madrid on August 22 under clear skies and light winds, aligning with ensemble guidance showing modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island retention near measurement sites, and exact timing of the daily minimum can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Higher-resolution models display limited spread for this stable anticyclonic regime, while historical August climatology places typical minima near 17–19°C, reinforcing the narrow probability distribution. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will provide the final verification data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 22 août ?
18°C 52%
19°C 36%
17°C 23%
16°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
10%
17°C
29%
18°C
44%
19°C
36%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 52%
19°C 36%
17°C 23%
16°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
13°C or below
$43 Vol.
1%
14°C
$23 Vol.
2%
15°C
$29 Vol.
8%
16°C
$75 Vol.
10%
17°C
$29 Vol.
29%
18°C
$76 Vol.
44%
19°C
$29 Vol.
36%
20°C
$46 Vol.
10%
21°C
$49 Vol.
7%
22°C
$23 Vol.
3%
23°C or higher
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET forecasts indicate an 18°C minimum for Madrid on August 22 under clear skies and light winds, aligning with ensemble guidance showing modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island retention near measurement sites, and exact timing of the daily minimum can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Higher-resolution models display limited spread for this stable anticyclonic regime, while historical August climatology places typical minima near 17–19°C, reinforcing the narrow probability distribution. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will provide the final verification data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$446Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET forecasts indicate an 18°C minimum for Madrid on August 22 under clear skies and light winds, aligning with ensemble guidance showing modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island retention near measurement sites, and exact timing of the daily minimum can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Higher-resolution models display limited spread for this stable anticyclonic regime, while historical August climatology places typical minima near 17–19°C, reinforcing the narrow probability distribution. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will provide the final verification data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$446Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official AEMET forecasts indicate an 18°C minimum for Madrid on August 22 under clear skies and light winds, aligning with ensemble guidance showing modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island retention near measurement sites, and exact timing of the daily minimum can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Higher-resolution models display limited spread for this stable anticyclonic regime, while historical August climatology places typical minima near 17–19°C, reinforcing the narrow probability distribution. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will provide the final verification data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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