Recent high-resolution model runs from GFS and ECMWF indicate stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, sustaining clear skies and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling and support overnight lows near 22–23 °C for Milan on September 5. This warm anomaly relative to the 16 °C September climatological minimum underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 15–25 °C range. Subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, local urban heat retention, or minor model spread in dew-point forecasts could shift the precise minimum by 1–2 °C. Traders will monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any Italian Meteorological Service updates for refinements before the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 5 septembre ?
15°C ou moins 69%
25°C ou plus 59%
16°C 48%
22°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
69%
16°C
48%
17°C
27%
18°C
31%
19°C
28%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
48%
23°C
2%
24°C
20%
25°C ou plus
59%
15°C ou moins 69%
25°C ou plus 59%
16°C 48%
22°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
69%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
48%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from GFS and ECMWF indicate stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, sustaining clear skies and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling and support overnight lows near 22–23 °C for Milan on September 5. This warm anomaly relative to the 16 °C September climatological minimum underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 15–25 °C range. Subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, local urban heat retention, or minor model spread in dew-point forecasts could shift the precise minimum by 1–2 °C. Traders will monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any Italian Meteorological Service updates for refinements before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from GFS and ECMWF indicate stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, sustaining clear skies and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling and support overnight lows near 22–23 °C for Milan on September 5. This warm anomaly relative to the 16 °C September climatological minimum underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 15–25 °C range. Subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, local urban heat retention, or minor model spread in dew-point forecasts could shift the precise minimum by 1–2 °C. Traders will monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any Italian Meteorological Service updates for refinements before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution model runs from GFS and ECMWF indicate stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, sustaining clear skies and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling and support overnight lows near 22–23 °C for Milan on September 5. This warm anomaly relative to the 16 °C September climatological minimum underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across the 15–25 °C range. Subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, local urban heat retention, or minor model spread in dew-point forecasts could shift the precise minimum by 1–2 °C. Traders will monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any Italian Meteorological Service updates for refinements before the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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