Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models show NYC overnight lows on September 2 holding near 69–72°F amid persistent humidity, light easterly flow, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling ahead of scattered showers and thunderstorms. This pattern, driven by a ridge to the southwest and moisture from the Great Lakes track, positions the 68–71°F range as the leading outcomes with the highest market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs through the Labor Day period continue to favor these elevated minima over cooler climatological norms, though any strengthening onshore breeze or clearing could shift probabilities toward the lower bins before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 2 septembre ?
64-65°F 46%
74-75°F 43%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
21%
64-65°F
46%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
35%
70-71 °F
31%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
43%
78-79 °F
18%
80-81 °F
8%
82°F ou plus
7%
64-65°F 46%
74-75°F 43%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
$27 Vol.
21%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
46%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
19%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
35%
70-71 °F
$0 Vol.
31%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$15 Vol.
43%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
43%
78-79 °F
$5 Vol.
18%
80-81 °F
$5 Vol.
8%
82°F ou plus
$68 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models show NYC overnight lows on September 2 holding near 69–72°F amid persistent humidity, light easterly flow, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling ahead of scattered showers and thunderstorms. This pattern, driven by a ridge to the southwest and moisture from the Great Lakes track, positions the 68–71°F range as the leading outcomes with the highest market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs through the Labor Day period continue to favor these elevated minima over cooler climatological norms, though any strengthening onshore breeze or clearing could shift probabilities toward the lower bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$125Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models show NYC overnight lows on September 2 holding near 69–72°F amid persistent humidity, light easterly flow, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling ahead of scattered showers and thunderstorms. This pattern, driven by a ridge to the southwest and moisture from the Great Lakes track, positions the 68–71°F range as the leading outcomes with the highest market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs through the Labor Day period continue to favor these elevated minima over cooler climatological norms, though any strengthening onshore breeze or clearing could shift probabilities toward the lower bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models show NYC overnight lows on September 2 holding near 69–72°F amid persistent humidity, light easterly flow, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling ahead of scattered showers and thunderstorms. This pattern, driven by a ridge to the southwest and moisture from the Great Lakes track, positions the 68–71°F range as the leading outcomes with the highest market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs through the Labor Day period continue to favor these elevated minima over cooler climatological norms, though any strengthening onshore breeze or clearing could shift probabilities toward the lower bins before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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