Strong northerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies overnight have driven radiative cooling across Qingdao, aligning with official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office projecting a minimum of 16°C for September 9. This consensus reflects typical late-summer patterns in the region, where northerly flow from higher latitudes lowers temperatures below seasonal averages around 18–20°C, with model runs showing limited spread in overnight lows. The market’s 94.5% implied probability on 16°C captures this evidence-based outlook from real-time observations and numerical weather prediction. A thicker cloud deck or unexpected southeasterly wind shift could limit cooling and push the recorded low higher, while drier air or stronger winds might allow it to dip to 15°C or below.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Qingdao le 9 septembre ?
16°C 95%
15°C 20%
14°C ou moins 9%
17°C <1%
14°C ou moins
9%
15°C
20%
16°C
95%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 95%
15°C 20%
14°C ou moins 9%
17°C <1%
14°C ou moins
9%
15°C
20%
16°C
95%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Strong northerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies overnight have driven radiative cooling across Qingdao, aligning with official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office projecting a minimum of 16°C for September 9. This consensus reflects typical late-summer patterns in the region, where northerly flow from higher latitudes lowers temperatures below seasonal averages around 18–20°C, with model runs showing limited spread in overnight lows. The market’s 94.5% implied probability on 16°C captures this evidence-based outlook from real-time observations and numerical weather prediction. A thicker cloud deck or unexpected southeasterly wind shift could limit cooling and push the recorded low higher, while drier air or stronger winds might allow it to dip to 15°C or below.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes