Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a widening lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent New Hampshire polling, with August surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College showing her ahead by 10-11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s job approval has risen since earlier in the year, drawing support from nearly all Republicans and a plurality of independents in a state that narrowly backed Democrats in the prior presidential contest. Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee following the September primary, has shown limited movement despite national headwinds for Republicans. These polling trends and Ayotte’s incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite heading into the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$16,620 Vol.
$16,620 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
84%
Démocrate
16%
$16,620 Vol.
$16,620 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
$7,617 Vol.
84%
Démocrate
$9,002 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a widening lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent New Hampshire polling, with August surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College showing her ahead by 10-11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s job approval has risen since earlier in the year, drawing support from nearly all Republicans and a plurality of independents in a state that narrowly backed Democrats in the prior presidential contest. Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee following the September primary, has shown limited movement despite national headwinds for Republicans. These polling trends and Ayotte’s incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$16,620Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a widening lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent New Hampshire polling, with August surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College showing her ahead by 10-11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s job approval has risen since earlier in the year, drawing support from nearly all Republicans and a plurality of independents in a state that narrowly backed Democrats in the prior presidential contest. Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee following the September primary, has shown limited movement despite national headwinds for Republicans. These polling trends and Ayotte’s incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,620Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a widening lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent New Hampshire polling, with August surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College showing her ahead by 10-11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s job approval has risen since earlier in the year, drawing support from nearly all Republicans and a plurality of independents in a state that narrowly backed Democrats in the prior presidential contest. Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee following the September primary, has shown limited movement despite national headwinds for Republicans. These polling trends and Ayotte’s incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite heading into the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de sénateur du New Hampshire sera-t-il compris entre 500 000 et 550 000 ?
46%
Oui
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de sénateur du Rhode Island atteindra-t-il 450 000 ou plus ?
50%
Oui
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?
52%
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