New York’s substantial Democratic voter registration edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent governor underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Hochul secured her primary without opposition, benefits from established fundraising networks, and holds structural advantages in a state where Democrats have won every gubernatorial contest since 2006. Recent polls show her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, though margins have narrowed at times amid broader national trends. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained economic pressures on state residents, a major scandal affecting Hochul’s standing, unusually high Republican turnout in suburban or upstate areas, or late shifts in national political momentum within the November 2026 resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de New York
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de New York
$92,254 Vol.
$92,254 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
94%
Républicain
7%
$92,254 Vol.
$92,254 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$44,931 Vol.
94%
Républicain
$47,323 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s substantial Democratic voter registration edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent governor underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Hochul secured her primary without opposition, benefits from established fundraising networks, and holds structural advantages in a state where Democrats have won every gubernatorial contest since 2006. Recent polls show her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, though margins have narrowed at times amid broader national trends. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained economic pressures on state residents, a major scandal affecting Hochul’s standing, unusually high Republican turnout in suburban or upstate areas, or late shifts in national political momentum within the November 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$92,254Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s substantial Democratic voter registration edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent governor underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Hochul secured her primary without opposition, benefits from established fundraising networks, and holds structural advantages in a state where Democrats have won every gubernatorial contest since 2006. Recent polls show her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, though margins have narrowed at times amid broader national trends. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained economic pressures on state residents, a major scandal affecting Hochul’s standing, unusually high Republican turnout in suburban or upstate areas, or late shifts in national political momentum within the November 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$92,254Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s substantial Democratic voter registration edge and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent governor underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Hochul secured her primary without opposition, benefits from established fundraising networks, and holds structural advantages in a state where Democrats have won every gubernatorial contest since 2006. Recent polls show her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, though margins have narrowed at times amid broader national trends. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained economic pressures on state residents, a major scandal affecting Hochul’s standing, unusually high Republican turnout in suburban or upstate areas, or late shifts in national political momentum within the November 2026 resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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